Forex trading
The investor's
goal in Forex trading is to profit from
foreign currency movements. Forex trading or
currency trading is always done in currency
pairs. For example, the exchange rate of
EUR/USD on Aug 26th, 2003 was 1.0857. This
number is also referred to as a "Forex rate"
or just "rate" for short. If the investor
had bought 1000 euros on that date, he would
have paid 1085.70 U.S. dollars. One year
later, the Forex rate was 1.2083, which
means that the value of the euro (the
numerator of the EUR/USD ratio) increased in
relation to the U.S. dollar. The investor
could now sell the 1000 euros in order to
receive 1208.30 dollars. Therefore, the
investor would have USD 122.60 more than
what he had started one year earlier.
However, to know if the investor made a good
investment, one needs to compare this
investment option to alternative
investments. At the very minimum, the return
on investment (ROI) should be compared to
the return on a "risk-free" investment. One
example of a risk-free investment is
long-term U.S. government bonds since there
is practically no chance for a default, i.e.
the U.S. government going bankrupt or being
unable or unwilling to pay its debt
obligation.
When trading currencies, trade
only when you expect the currency you are
buying to increase in value relative to the
currency you are selling. If the currency
you are buying does increase in value, you
must sell back the other currency in order
to lock in a profit. An open trade (also
called an open position) is a trade in which
a trader has bought or sold a particular
currency pair and has not yet sold or bought
back the equivalent amount to close the
position.
However, it is estimated that
anywhere from 70%-90% of the FX market is
speculative. In other words, the person or
institution that bought or sold the currency
has no plan to actually take delivery of the
currency in the end; rather, they were
solely speculating on the movement of that
particular currency. |
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